Prof. Dr. Timm Bönke
Juniorprofessor
| Adresse |
Boltzmannstraße 20 Raum 305 14195 Berlin |
| Sekretariat | Nelli Anan |
| Telefon | + 49 30 838 53331 |
| Fax | + 49 30 838 52560 |
| timm.boenke@fu-berlin.de |
Sprechstunde
Nach Vereinbarung
Interessensgebiete:
- Mikrosimulation
- Einkommens- und Vermögensverteilungen
- Steuer-Transfersysteme
Gutachtertätigkeit für wissenschaftliche Zeitschriften:
Aging & Society; German Economic Review; International Review of Economics; Journal of Applied Social Science Studies; Journal of Economics and Statistics; Journal of Economic Inequality; Journal of Income Distribution
Mitgliedschaften:
Econometric Society; European Economic Association (EEA); International Institute of Public Finance (IIPF); Society for the Study of Economic Inequality (ECINEQ)
Current Research Projects
Lifetime earnings inequality in Germany
Collaborators: Giacomo Corneo and Holger Lüthen
Investigation of the magnitude, pattern, and evolution of lifetime earnings inequality in Germany. Based on a large sample of earnings biographies from social security records. We show that the intra-generational distribution of lifetime earnings of male workers has a Gini coefficient around .2 for cohorts born in the late 1930s and early 1940s; this amounts to about 2/3 of the value of the Gini coefficient of annual earnings. Within cohorts, mobility in the distribution of yearly earnings is substantial at the beginning of the lifecycle, decreases afterwards and virtually vanishes after age forty. Earnings data for thirty-one cohorts reveals striking evidence of a secular rise of intra-generational inequality in lifetime earnings. Discussion Paper
Fiscal equalization and regions' (un)willingness-to-tax: Evidence from Germany
Collaborators: Beate Jochimsen and Carsten Schröder
We address the question as to which extent local jurisdictions in a federation under-exploit the tax base due to their high marginal rate of loss, i.e. the low participation in tax revenues, governed by the federation. By means of a stylized model we investigate if local authorities in such a federation have incentives to align the effective tax rates of their residents to rates of tax back on regional tax revenues. We empirically test the model using administrative income-tax micro data from Germany and two setups: a heckman selection model and a natural experiment design. Both approaches provide evidence in support of our theoretical model. Discussion Paper
Horizontal Equity in the U.S. Tax and Transfer System
Collaborators: Sebastian Eichfelder and Stephen Utz
We analyze the distributive justice of the combined burden of income taxes, social security taxes and public transfers on employee households in the United States on the federal level and in six member states. To investigate whether the treatment of families by the aggregate tax and transfer system can be regarded as “fair”, we compare the equivalent incomes of eight different household types. Using the concepts of horizontal equity and system-inherent equivalence scales, we find evidence for a privileged treatment of families with children and a low market income due to the earned income tax credit (EIC), the child tax credit and the supplemental nutrition assistance program (SNAP). Discussion Paper
The Dynamics of Earnings in Germany: Evidence from Social Security Records
Collaborators: Matthias Giesecke and Holger Lüthen
We examine patterns of earnings volatility for male employees who are subject to statutory social security contributions in West Germany over the period 1960 - 2009. For this purpose, we analyse individual records covering highly reliable earnings biographies provided by the German Social Security Administration. We decompose earnings into permanent and transitory components and estimate parameters of the underlying variance-covariance structure of the earnings components model. This provides insights into the mechanics of earnings dynamics of the German labour market.
The reaction of charitable giving to changes in persistent and transitory tax incentives
Collaborator: Clive Werdt
We estimate the elasticity of charitable giving with respect to price and income changes using a rich panel of German income tax returns covering the period 2001 to 2006. Employing censored quantile regression and exploiting the panel structure the advantage of our analysis is twofold: First, we derive results for different points in the underlying distribution of charitable giving and allow for heterogeneity in giving. Thus, we do not only know if giving responds to price and income but where the incentives matter most. Second, we disentangle long-run responses to persistent changes in price and income from short-run timing, consumption smoothing, or tax planning.
The effect of public sector employment on wage distribution compression
Collaborator: Miriam Reuschel
The tasks of the public sector as an employer in a welfare state are twofold. First, the public sector has to provide services which are regarded as indispensable for society. Here, the public sector competes for qualified staff with the private sector. In order to attract qualified personnel the public sector competes with a package, often comprised off lower remuneration accompanied by higher job security. Second, public sector employment may be used as means to support disadvantaged groups on the labor market. Especially woman and unqualified workers tend to get higher remuneration compared to an employment in the private sector. Consequently, a public-private wage gap exists and public sector employment tends to compress the overall wage distribution. In our study we investigate the evolution of public-private wage gap and the equalizing role of public employment over the period 1984 to 2010.
(1) Publikationen in begutachteten Zeitschriften - (2) Beiträge in Sammelbänden/sonstige Beiträge - (3) Aktuelle Diskussionspapiere
(1) Publikationen in begutachteten Zeitschriften:
- Can households and welfare states mitigate rising earnings instability? (mit C. Bartels), Review of Income and Wealth (early view) [former title: German male income volatility 1984 to 2008: Trends in permanent and transitory income components and the role of the welfare state].
- Charitable Giving in the German Welfare State: Fiscal Incentives and Crowding Out (mit N. Massarrat-Mashhadi und C. Sielaff), Public Choice 154/1 (2013), 39 - 58.
- Country Inequality Rankings and Conversion Schemes (mit C. Schröder), Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Vol. 6, 2012-28 (2012) [former title: Equivalence scales reconsidered – an empirical investigation].
- Tragen ältere Menschen ein erhöhtes Armutsrisiko? Eine Dekompositions- und Mobilitätsanalyse relativer Einkommensarmut für das wiedervereinigte Deutschland (mit J. Faik und M. Grabka), Journal of Social Policy Research - Zeitschrift für Sozialreform 58/2 (2012) 175 - 208.
- Zur Entwicklung der Einkommensverteilung unter älteren Menschen in Deutschland seit der Wiedervereinigung (mit C. Schröder und K. Schulte), Vierteljahreshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 80/2 (2011), 81-99.
- Poverty in Germany - statistical inference and decomposition (mit C. Schröder), Journal of Economics and Statistics - Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 231/2 (2011), 178 - 209.
- Horizontal equity in the German tax-benefit system: A simulation approach for employees (mit S. Eichfelder), FinanzArchiv - Public Finance Analysis 66 (2010), 295-331.
- Incomes and inequality in the long run: the case of German elderly (mit C. Schröder und K. Schulte), German Economic Review 11 (2010), 487-510.
- Bestimmung ökonomischer Einkommen und effektiver Einkommensteuerbelastungen mit der Faktisch Anonymisierten Lohn- und Einkommensteuerstatistik (mit F. Neher und C. Schröder), Schmollers Jahrbuch - Journal of Applied Social Science Studies 127 (2007), 585-623.
- Was hätte man sonst machen können? Alternativszenarien zur Rot-Grünen Steuerreform (mit G. Corneo), Schmollers Jahrbuch - Journal of Applied Social Science Studies 126 (2006), 489-519.
(2) Beiträge in Sammelbänden:
- Ungleichheitsdynamik in Deutschland: permanente Divergenz oder transitorische Fluktuation? (mit M. Giesecke und H. Lüthen), in Deutsche Rentenversicherung Bund (Hrsg.): DRV-Schriften Band 55/2010, S. 177 - 193.
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Lebenseinkommensungleichheit westdeutscher Männer: Ergebnisse auf Basis deutscher Sozialversicherungsdaten für die Jahrgänge 1938-1944 (mit G. Corneo und H. Lüthen), in Deutsche Rentenversicherung Bund (Hrsg.): DRV-Schriften Band 55/2010, S. 232 - 249.
- Die Funktionsweise des bundesdeutschen Finanzausgleichs und seine ökonomischen Anreizeffekte auf Länderebene (mit B. Joachimsen und C. Schröder), in Christiana Albertina Band 70/2010, S. 6-17.
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Gekappte Einkommen in prozessgenerierten Daten der Deutschen Rentenversicherung - Ein paretobasierter Imputationsansatz, in Deutsche Rentenversicherung Bund (Hrsg.): DRV-Schriften Band 55/2009, S. 214 - 230.
(3) Aktuelle Diskussionsbeiträge:
- Uneven Treatment of Family Life? Horizontal Equity in the U.S. Tax and Transfer System (mit S. Eichfelder und S. Utz), Economics Discussion Paper, School of Business & Economics, FU Berlin, Nr. 2012/18.
- Lifetime Earnings Inequality in Germany (mit G. Corneo und H. Lüthen), CEPR Discussion Paper no. 8929. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
- Fiscal equalization and regions’ (un)willingness-to-tax - evidence from Germany (mit B. Jochimsen und C. Schröder), Economics Working Paper, Department of Economics, Christian-Albrechts-Universität Kiel, Nr. 2011/6.
- Compiling a Harmonized Database from Germany's 1978 to 2003 Sample Surveys of Income and Expenditure (mit C. Schröder und C. Werdt), Economics Discussion Paper, School of Business & Economics, FU Berlin, Nr. 2010/4.
- Horizontale Gleichheit im Abgaben-Transfersystem: eine Analyse äquivalenter Einkommen von Arbeitnehmern in Deutschland (mit S. Eichfelder), Arbeitskreis quantitative Steuerlehre, Diskussionsbeitrag Nr. 36/2008.






