November 17th 2020, Felix Tintelnot (University of Chicago): The Effects of Foreign Multinationals on Workers and Firms in the United States
The Effects of Foreign Multinationals on Workers and Firms in the United States
Governments go to great lengths to attract foreign multinationals because theyare thought to raise the wages paid to their employees (direct effects) and to improve outcomes at local domestic firms (indirect effects). We construct the first U.S.employer-employee dataset with foreign ownership information from tax records to measure these direct and indirect effects. We find the average direct effect of a foreignmultinational firm on its U.S. workers is a 7 percent increase in wages. This premiumis larger for higher skilled workers and for the employees of firms from high GDP percapita countries. We find evidence that it is membership in a multinational production network—instead of foreignness—that generates the foreign firm premium. We leverage the past spatial clustering of foreign-owned firms by country of ownership to identify the indirect effects. An expansion in the foreign multinational share of commuting zone employment substantially increases the employment, value added, and—for higher earning workers—wages at local domestic-owned firms. Per job created by a foreign multinational, our estimates suggest annual gains of 16,000 USD to the aggregate wages of local incumbents, of which about two-thirds is due to indirect effects. Our estimates suggest that—via mega-deals for subsidies from local governments—foreign multinationals are able to extract a sizable fraction of the local surplus they generate.