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Priv.-Doz. Dr. Till Strohsal

Strohsal, Dr. Till

Privatdozent

E-Mail
till.strohsal@fu-berlin.de

 

Curriculum Vitae

 Work Experience

  October 2023 - present

Professor of Economic Policy
Berlin School of Economics and Law (HWR Berlin)
  September 2020 - September 2023

Economist
Federal Chancellery,
Division: Economic Policy; Economic Development; Special Tasks
  October 2015 - August 2020

Economist
Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy,
Division: Monitoring, Analysis and Projection of Macroeconomic Development
  January 2014 - December 2016

Postdoctoral Research Fellow
Department of Economics, Freie Universität Berlin
   October 2010 - December 2013

Teaching and Research Assistant
Institute for Statistics and Econometrics, Freie Universität Berlin
  October 2010 - December 2016 Research Project

Expectations Management of Central Banks (CRC 649: Economic Risk, Project Area C14)
  March 2012 - July 2012 Traineeship

European Central Bank, Monetary Policy Strategy Division
  October 2009 - September 2010 Teaching and Research Assistant

Department of Economics, Universität Regensburg
  March 2009 - September 2009 Guest Researcher

CRC 649: Economic Risk, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
  October 2007 - September 2009 Student Teaching Assistant

Institute for Statistics and Econometrics, Freie Universität Berlin
  June 2007 - July 2007 Intern

Federal Ministry of Finance

Education

 

2018

Habilitation (Economics, Focus: Applied Econometrics)
Freie Universität Berlin

Committee: Dieter Nautz, Helmut Lütkepohl, Mathias Trabandt, Sven Schreiber
 

2013

Ph.D. in Economics (Dr. rer. pol.)
Freie Universität Berlin

Doctoral Committee: Dieter Nautz, Helmut Lütkepohl, Enzo Weber, Jürgen Wolters
  2010 - 2013 Doctoral Student in Economics

Freie Universität Berlin
  2009 - 2010 Doctoral Student in Economics

Universität Regensburg
  2005 - 2009 Master (Diplom) in Economics

Freie Universität Berlin
  2006 - 2007 Graduate Studies in Economics

Université Pierre Mendès France
  2003 - 2005 Undergraduate Studies in Business Administration

Freie Universität Berlin

Fields of Interest

 
  • Time Series Analysis and Frequency Domain Analysis
  • Inflation Expectations Anchoring
  • Term Structure of Interest Rates
  • Financial Cycle and Business Cycle
  • Forecasting

Publications

 
  • Andreini, P., Hasenzagl, T., Reichlin, L., Senftleben-König, C., Strohsal, T. (2023): Nowcasting German GDP: Foreign Factors, Financial Markets and Model Averaging, International Journal of Forecasting, 39, 298-313. link
  • Zhen, Z., Weber, E., Strohsal, T., Serhan, D. (2021): Sustainable Border Control Policy in the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Math Modeling Study, Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease, 41, May–June. link
  • Strohsal, T., Wolf, E. (2020): Data Revisions to German National Accounts: Are Initial Releases Good Nowcasts?, International Journal of Forecasting, 36, 1252-1259. link
  • Strohsal, T., Proaño, C.R., Wolters, J. (2019): Characterizing the Financial Cycle: Evidence from a Frequency Domain Analysis, Journal of Banking & Finance, 106, 568-591. link (replication file)
  • Strohsal, T., Proaño, C.R., Wolters, J. (2019): Assessing the Cross-Country Interaction of Financial Cycles: Evidence from a Multivariate Spectral Analysis of the USA and UK, Empirical Economics, 57, 385-398. link
  • Nautz, D., Strohsal, T., Netsunajev A. (2019): The Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in the Short and in the Long Run, Macroeconomic Dynamics, 23, 1959-1977. link
  • Melnick, R., Strohsal, T. (2017): Disinflation in Steps and the Phillips Curve: Israel 1986-2015, Journal of Macroeconomics, 53, 145-161. link
  • Strohsal, T. (2017): Bond Yields and Debt Supply: New Evidence through the Lens of a Preferred-Habitat Model, Quantitative Finance, 17, 1509-1522. link
  • Nautz, D., Pagenhardt, L., Strohsal, T. (2017): The (De-)Anchoring of Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from the Euro Area, North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 40, 103-115. link
  • Strohsal, T., Melnick, R., Nautz, D. (2016): The Time-Varying Degree of Inflation Expectations Anchoring, Journal of Macroeconomics, 48, 62-71. link
  • Strohsal, T., Winkelmann, L. (2015): Assessing the Anchoring of Inflation Expectations, Journal of International Money and Finance, 50, 33-48. link
  • Nautz, D., Strohsal, T. (2015): Are US Inflation Expectations Re-Anchored?, Economics Letters, 127, 6-9. link
  • Strohsal, T., Weber, E. (2015): Time-Varying International Stock Market Interaction and the Identification of Volatility Signals, Journal of Banking & Finance, 56, 28-36. link
  • Strohsal, T., Weber, E. (2014): Mean-Variance Cointegration and the Expectations Hypothesis, Quantitative Finance, 16(3), 1983-1997. link

Presentations

 
  • 2020
 21st IWH-CIREQ-GW Macroeconometric Workshop: Forecasting and Uncertainty, Halle (Saale)
 
  • 2019
 Research Seminar "Quantitative Wirtschaftsforschung", Universität Hamburg.
 
  • 2018
 38th International Symposium on Forecasting, Boulder, Colorado.
 
  • 2017
 BERG Research Seminar in Economics, University of Bamberg. Research Seminar in Economics, Freie Universität Berlin, 7th IWH-INFER AEEP Workshop, Halle.
 
  • 2016
 Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society, Kyoto. 14th INFINITI Conference on International Finance, Dublin. 36th International Symposium on Forecasting, Santander. 10th International Conference on Computational and Financial Econometrics, Seville.
 
  • 2015
 Potsdam Research Seminar in Economics. IWH Research Seminar in Economics, Halle (Saale). 35th International Symposium on Forecasting, Riverside, California. Annual Meeting, CRC 649: Economic Risk, Motzen. Annual Conference, Verein für Socialpolitik, Münster. 9th International Conference on Computational and Financial Econometrics, London.
 
  • 2014
 8th International Conference on Computational and Financial Econometrics, Pisa. 6th IFABS Conference on Alternative Futures for Global Banking, Lisbon. 12th INFINITI Conference on International Finance, Prato.
 
  • 2013
 7th International Conference on Computational and Financial Econometrics, London. IWH Workshop on Central Bank Communication and Decision Making, Halle (Saale). 3rd Humboldt-Copenhagen Conference on Financial Econometrics, Berlin.
 
  • 2012
 Annual Meeting, German Statistical Society, Vienna. Annual Conference, Verein für Socialpolitik, Göttingen. 66th European Meeting of the Econometric Society, Málaga. 10th INFINITI Conference on International Finance, Dublin. Research Seminar, Deutsche Bundesbank, Frankfurt. Annual Meeting, CRC 649: Economic Risk, Motzen. Jour Fixe, CRC 649: Economic Risk, Berlin.
 
  • 2011
 Macroeconometric Workshop, DIW Berlin. Annual Conference, Verein für Socialpolitik, Frankfurt. 18th Forecasting Financial Markets Conference, Marseille. 2nd Humboldt-Copenhagen Conference on Financial Econometrics, Copenhagen. Annual Meeting, CRC 649: Economic Risk, Motzen.
 
  • 2010
 11th IWH-CIREQ Macroeconometric Workshop: Causation, Forecasting and Macroeconomics, Halle (Saale). Macroeconometric Workshop, DIW Berlin.

 

Forschungsschwerpunkt Statistik und Ökonometrie
Graduate Center of DIW Berlin
fu:stat